2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and decide

The 2012 Euro Cup is right down to the final four teams, when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they will be playing to manage the winner with the Spain vs. Portugal game that takes place later today.
Recent history between these two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't care about yesteryear, they're centered on the sport at hand.
The German squad have never beaten Italy in a very competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, forget about about it, the past doesn't may play a role in our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is Germany never won against Italy in a very major tournament, but just what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's time check here for Germany to win as they're the favourite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game is going to be a tricky, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong manner on this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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